Will a weakened Trudeau be able to survive looming RCMP investigations?

Jagmeet Singh, the leader of the far-left New Democrats, has expressed his desire to form a government with Justin Trudeau. But some expect Trudeau to decline the offer in favor of forming a government with the Bloc Quebecois.

Despite losing the popular vote, Justin Trudeau is likely to retain his position as Prime Minister of Canada, though his Parliamentary caucus has been reduced to 155 seats in the House of Commons, short of the 170 seats needed to form a government.

Trudeau is likely to engage in talks this week with Jagmeet Singh, the leader of the New Democrats, which has won 25 ridings; and Francois-Yves Blanchet, the leader of the Bloc Quebecois, which has won 32 ridings.

Trudeau will need the support of at least one of those leaders to form a government.

In Canada, minority governments survive for fewer than two and half years.

But Trudeau’s government is the target of an ongoing investigation by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police; it was put on hold just prior to the election being called.  Political operatives expect charges for obstruction of justice to be brought against Trudeau in the coming weeks — and without majority control of the House, he will be unable to shut down the oversight functions of either the Justice Committee or the Ethics Committee.

With an emboldened Conservative Party, having gained 26 seats this cycle to win 121 seats, the opposition can be expected to use those committees to dig more deeply in the SNC Lavalin public corruption scandal, and ethical breaches related to the PMO’s handling of the affair.

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All eyes are on Andrew Scheer’s next moves.  The Conservative Party won the popular vote.

Andrew Scheer indicated that he intends to stay on as Leader of the Conservative Party, despite falling short of hopes at forming a government this election.  On election night, Scheer told supporters that the Conservative Party will be ready to pounce when the Trudeau government falls.

Political observers are closely watching Scheer’s next moves.  Election results made clear that the Conservatives must address regional policy and messaging strategies in Atlantic Canada, Quebec, and Ontario — where the party had been hoping to make stronger gains.

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13 Comments

  1. Thanks Ontario! You’ve made sure we are all broke like you until 2100. I will never see another balanced budget in my lifetime and once again the smaller population must support the greater population financially and with our commodities for nothing in return. No where else will you find this but in countries with slavery and indebted servants. 38 percent of the population, 60 percent of the GDP, I hate central Canada.

    • I live in Ontario and agree with you. Why people voted for that asshat is beyond me. Also broke, also hate most of Ontario…… not pointing fingers….TORONTO/OTTAWA

    • Its not Ontario, Its Great Toronto Area that voted for Turdeau, rural Ontario hates him too. Don’t forget, Scheerdeau accomplished his goal going after his PERSONAL, CONSERVATIVE enemy Max Bernier, instead of going after COMMUNISTS, Liberals, NDP, Greens. He even went to tiny riding of Max and used dairy lobby to push him out instead of campaigning in important ridings. Such a slimy, vindictive worm, selling Canada one glass of milk at the time. He should resign.

      • I agree with you that the NDP are Communists. I don’t feel the same about the others. I live in BC where the NDP dominated for generations! What a fucking weird place. I lived in Newfoundland, Ontario, Alberta and now BC. This place is fucked! If any province in Canada could be referred to as communist, its here. It’s just the culture here. Love the weather! Hate the politics. The red flags are flying here. And I don’t mean Liberal.

  2. andrew scheer makes a great “Master of Ceremonies” at Your Sister’s Wedding. Truly lacks Leadership Quality. And it is proven that the Electorate would rather have a Stuffed Puppet who can regurgitate Gerald Butts Theme Park Politics. For all the negative and pending charges, it was Scheers’ to lose…. And he did, in a repetitive, monotonous, lack luster spew, of “he’s not fit to Govern” ….for 40 days, every day or infinity is more like it. Did it work?

    Had not the Quebec Separatists dredged up the Movement, one more time, Trudeau would have won another Majority. They took over 37 out of the 78 seats. And that is where popular vote for the Liberals dropped and then an…. increased dose of Love in the 905.
    Was not Scheer supposed to shine in the 905?

    Scheer cannot hang his hat on winning popular vote. Peter McKay is the only future Leader, that can deal with Trudeau. Not Ambrose. And for what its worth our Country’s portion of global carbon is pegged at 1.5%………So if we cut the foot print in half ….is only 0.75% or 99.25% Remains at large.
    Of all the Elections that I have endured, including Pierre Trudeau, this one has the least substance, with no lack of spending and no way of paying for it. And outright lies, with no facts to back up.
    But don’t let “Campaign” facts get in the way.

    Canadians owe $1.79 for every dollar earned.
    An Ipsos poll 10 months ago, surveyed 2000+ people …….46% of Canadians are $200 away from financial insolvency each month.

    Lets hear it for the Big Red Machine

  3. Trudope is driving this country over a cliff . . . and millions of dumb Canooks support that . . . .

    Remember when . . . .
    World’s Richest Middle Class . . . NY Times
    World’s Best Reputation . . . Reputation Institute
    Best Wage Growth in G7 Nations . . . 2007-2012
    Best Oilfield Salaries in the World . . .
    Best Oilfield Enviro Regs in the World . . . Harvard Bus School
    Best Country to do Business . . . . Forbes
    World’s Best Debt to GDP Ratio , . . OECD

    ALL of that is in the REAR VIEW Mirror today Canada . . . . as you wallow towards European Failed State Status.

  4. French Canada and the unions east of Manitoba voted Trudeau in. Doug Ford is trying to get Ontario back on the rails after 15 years under the Liberals turned Ontario Bankrupt…..>Trudeau is doing the same thing nationwide……we need a guy like Doug Ford heading the conservatives. We also need to pay more attention to the west who are now the economic centre of the country….Ontario manufacturing is gone…….gone permanently, province is also bankrupt……Quebec are takers……Bombardier and SNC are prime examples. this needs to change.

  5. Looking to buy Quebec diary quotas, as the dairy cartel seems to have enough lobbyists to ruin this country in 1 year. Really Andrew Scheer, was it the chocolate milk that saved your child’s life or was it the kickbacks?

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